2015 Trend Reports Are Now Available

Public versions of my 2015 Trend Reports are now available at my HorizonWatching Slideshare account.   Direct links to the 2015 reports are as follows:

I’d love to hear your feedback on these reports.  Let me know how you are using them.   I’m on Twitter and LinkedIn… so those are probably the best places to keep in touch with me.

3D Printing (Additive Manufacturing) Trend Report

I’ve published my 2014 Trend report on 3D Printing.  The 76 page powerpoint slide deck provides an overview of 3D Printing trend along marketplace research and insights and hundreds of links to additional resources.

About 3D Printing:  Also called Additive Manufacturing, 3D printing has been hailed as a transformative manufacturing technology, 3D printing involves fabrication of physical objects by depositing a material using a nozzle, print head, or any another printer technology. Though initially used for prototyping of products, 3D printing has evolved and is currently capable of customized short-run manufacturing of industrial products, dental implants, and medical devices. The reality is that 3D printing is finding use in a diverse range of applications across varied markets.

Technological advancements are increasingly facilitating the use of 3D printers for manufacturing final products. The technology has now reached a stage where digital models can be replicated to produce physical components or prototypes, which would be similar to those of mass produced products. The declining cost of printers has led a wide range of industries ranging from aerospace and automotive to footwear and jewelry to adopt 3D printing technology for manufacturing desired objects. 3D printing technology is thus offering individuals as well as companies with the ability to design as well as manufacture objects at relatively lower costs.

Table of Contents
My 2014 trend report includes the following table of contents.
1.Introduction to 3D Printing
2.Marketplace Opportunities and Industry Applications
3.Materials & Technologies
4.Vendor Ecosystem
5.Drivers, Challenges, Implications, Trends to Watch
6.Summary / Recommendations
7.Appendix:   Resources for further reading & understanding

 

Friday Gadget: Concepts for Future Glass Display Applications

I took a few weeks off from Friday Gadget posts as I was on my spring break with my family.  This week I am back with a post the future of displays.

The post today features a concept video from Corning Glass that is actually a couple of years old.  The video is a montage from its “A Day Made of Glass” series of videos that they created in 2011 and 2012.   Even though the video montage I am sharing below was made a couple of years ago, it is very, very relevant today.  The video provides us with a fantastic view of the potential futures of applications that involve glass displays.    Even if you have seen the videos, its worth another look. 

The video was produced to share Corning’s vision on how glass will help create a more connected, collaborative, and interactive world.  The video features a family of four going about a “normal day,” aided by glass-pane tablets and touchscreen walls. But the latest video reveals an even broader view of the role specialty glass could play in the “near future,” reaching out of the home and into hospitals, schools, even parks.

The video is embedded below and is 5 minutes in length.  I guarantee it is worth the time.  It will really get you thinking about how we might interact with information in the future.  As you watch the video, think about the emerging “3rd” computing platform that is made up of technologies like big data, analytics, data visualization, cloud computing, social business, mobile computing, wearables, internet of things, cognitive computing, and human computer interaction.  The video does a great job of showing how all those technologies, when fully integrated into solutions and services, can make a significant impact in our lives.

Corning is, of course, very much focused on selling the future of glass.  Their stated vision is “Interactive glass surfaces, seamless delivery of real-time information, and technologies that enrich your life”.  The company creates and makes specialty glasses that are critical components within the concept products shown in the videos.   The vivid displays, durable touch surfaces, or instant, real-time communications shown in the videos, each require some form of specialty glass.   Learn more about Corning’s innovations in glass.

IBM Announces 11 New IBM Fellows

Video: 50th Anniversary of the IBM Fellow Program

IBM is a great place to work because there are so many smart people.  And the best of the bunch are called IBM Fellows

The IBM Fellows program was founded in 1962 by Thomas J. Watson, Jr., as a way to promote creativity among the company’s “most exceptional” technical professionals. The following year, the first appointments were made and the tradition has since carried on every year. The Fellow honor acknowledges an IBM Researcher’s important contributions and industry-leading innovations in developing some of the world’s most important technologies.

Recently, IBM announced a record number of eleven scientists to the 2014 class of IBM Fellows.  The 2014 IBM Fellows have influenced a broad array of technologies in the following areas: Brain-inspired cognitive computing, security platforms, computational science, cloud computing, business database and analytics, and high performance, enterprise storage technologies. IBM Fellows have a history of pushing the boundaries of science and technology to deliver improved solutions for constantly changing, global business needs.

The 2014 IBM Fellows represent a microcosm of IBM’s diverse global research and technical community. Their backgrounds vary—from a village in southern India to the holy city of Jerusalem to a small town in central Kentucky.   However, from different starting points, today these 11 leaders in their respective fields have reached the same destination…they are now IBM Fellows.

Congrats to the new IBM Fellows!

Friday Gadget: Rapport Device Detects and Reacts to Human Emotions

I’ve decided to bring back the Friday Gadget posts after a very long absence. 

I am not really a gadget guy, but I do like to think about what types of products future generations will have that will make their life easier and think about how emerging technologies will be a part of our lives in the future. When I first started blogging back in 2006, every Friday I would post about a concept for a future technology or gadget.   The series of posts were designed to help us all take a step back on a Friday, have a little fun, and help us all imagine how technology can disrupt the future. 

So I am bringing back the Friday Gadget posts.  I am not sure how long the series will last this time, but we will have fun with it while it lasts…

For this first new post , I found a project team that asked the question:  What if your gadgets knew how you were feeling and could then respond appropriately?   A group of designers developed a device they call Rapport that can observe, analyze and react to your facial expressions in order to select a music playlist that suits you the best.  Once you make eye contact with the device, it leans forward and analyzes your facial expression. Taking into account the time of day, it selects a song that it feels might suit your current mood.   The Rapport device starts the playback of the song at a fairly low volume, but will boost the volume if it sees you smiling or excited.

Under the covers, the team utilized 4 different software programs including Visual Studio (stores the facial recognition library and eye tracking code), Processing (runs the facial recognition library), Max/Msp(controls volume and curates music) and Arduino (drives the stepper motors inside the device).

Potential initial applications could include smart homes, retirement homes, entertainment events, and education.  In the future, application developers will utilize emotion detection systems to design robots that understand how better to interact with humans.   Over time robots could learn to understand how different humans react emotionally and treat each person differently based on both visual and auditory inputs. 

For more, check out these resources:   1) Rapport Introduction (Youtube), 2) Rapport Demonstration (YouTube), 3) Emotional Intelligence (Yanko Design), 4) Feeling the Music;  Gadget Reads Emotions to Choose Songs (Gajitz)

Cognitive Computing Trend and Prediction Articles for 2014

We are fast-approaching a new era of computing called cognitive computing. Cognitive computing systems will learn, interact and adapt naturally to support consumers, knowledge workers and business decision makers. This new computing era is not an incremental change. It will disrupt industries and how work gets performed within those industries. It signifies a fundamental shift in how machines interact with us and the environment.

I recently published my trend report  Cognitive Computing Trends to Watch in 2014.   The report provides an overview of Cognitive Computing and what to watch in 2014 in related topics like IBM Watson, Artificial Intelligence, and Smart Machines.   In the deck, I provide  important trends and predictions about Cognitive Computing trends in 2014.

Below I’ve provided you some articles on this trend that I thought you would want to read.


Source Title
The Economist Group The machine of a new soul
BGR What might finally take Siri to the next level? You.
IPWatchdog What is a Computer?
opus Research 10 Trends to Watch: Conversational Commerce 2014
inside BigData A Look Ahead at Big Data and Cognitive Computing
Wired Innovation Insights Artificial Intelligence Set to Deliver ‘Wow’
CSC Becoming a Believer in Artificial Intelligence
New York Times Brainlike Computers, Learning From Experience
IBM Bringing Cognitive Computing to the Enterprise
The Bridge Cognition-as-a-Service will be big in 2014

 

Business Analytics Trends and Prediction Articles for 2014

Leading-edge businesses are already embracing advanced analytics solutions and services that can help them identify their most profitable customers, accelerate product innovation, optimize supply chains and pricing, and identify the true drivers of financial performance. These leading-edge businesses will be successfully prepared for the cognitive systems era.

I recently published my trend report Business Analytics:  Trends to Watch in 2014 out on slideshare.   The report provides an overview of Big data and what to watch in 2014.  Below I’ve provided you some articles on this trend that I thought you would want to read.

Source Title
B2C Business 2 Community 2014 – The Year of Predictive Analytics for SMBs
Information Week IT Must Deliver Visual, Mobile-Friendly Data Analytics
Enterprise Apps Today Top Business Intelligence Trends For 2014
Heather Hiles (Pathbrite) Big Idea 2014: Move Over, Big Data—It’s Time for Personal Analytics
Forbes Five Business Intelligence Predicitons for 2014
Cloud times Predictive Analytics is the Next Growing Sector in Big Data Market
International Institute for Analytics Forecasting the Future of Analytics: 2014 Edition
IIIA (IIA) Announces Nine Analytics Predictions for 2014
Information Management 11 Data Visualization Experts You Should Follow on Twitter
Revolution Analytics 14 Analytics Predictions for 2014

 

Enterprise Mobile Computing Trend and Prediction Articles for 2014

The rise of mobility in the enterprise has already had a huge impact, and it will only continue to grow. While there’s much focus from a consumer standpoint on the different mobile and wearable devices, over the next three to five years the most cutting edge advances in mobile will not be in device itself, but instead what is done with it. Mobile computing is at a turning point as we are entering the second wave of the mobile revolution: the business of mobile. Just as the Internet transformed industries like banking, travel and healthcare – so too will mobile.

I recently published my trend report Enterprise Mobile Computing: A HorizonWatching 2014 Trend Report.  The 32 page report provides an overview of Enterprise Mobile Computing Trends to Watch in 2014. Below I’ve provided you some articles on this trend that I thought you would want to read.

Source Title
CIO.com 10 Mobile Tech Predictions for 2014 (Slideshow)
Online Media Daily 2014 Trends In Mobile Marketing And Advertising
Information Age Mobile collaboration in 2014: 4 big predictions
Mobile Enterprise Mobility Outlook 2014
365Online Top 11 Mobile Trends Of 2013
Forbes 7 Ways Mobile Will Change Business In 2014
The Mobile Retail Blog 3 Mobile Marketing Trends to Emerge in 2014
Industrial Distribution Three Key Trends In Mobile Computing In 2014
Mobility TechZone 2014 Prediction: Consolidation Will Firm Its Grip
Mobile Enterprise Technology Predictions

 

Cloud Computing Trend and Prediction Articles for 2014

In 2014, enterprise decision makers will no longer debate whether cloud services are reliable or secure enough to handle their corporate needs and will aggressively pursue strategic cloud initiatives that will transform the way they operate to better compete in an increasingly challenging business environment. Security and data governance issues will continue to be the major barrier to cloud adoption/implementation.

I recently published my trend report Cloud Computing Trends To Watch In 2014 on slideshare.  The report provides an overview of Cloud Computing Trends to Watch in 2014.

Below I’ve provided you some articles on this trend that I thought you would want to read.

Source Title
CIO.com 10 Cloud Computing Predictions for 2014
Data Center Knowledge Coming in 2014: Cloud Sprawl, Personal Clouds and More
Network World Hybrid cloud: The year of adoption is upon us
Paranet A Cloudy Forecast for Cloud Computing in 2014
PerspecSys Cloud Security – 5 Predictions of What We’ll See in 2014
GigaOM Three emerging cloud computing trends for 2014
Cloud Computing Intelligence Verizon’s predictions for the cloud in 2014
Cloud Velocity AWS Will Enter the Hybrid Cloud Market
Cloud Passage 5 Cloud Predictions for 2014
Hitachi Data Systems Trend 3: Greater Adoption of Private cloud

 

Enterprise IT Security Trends and Prediction Articles for 2014

Security is one of those long term trends that just continues to grow in importance and size. Information security professionals face the challenge of detecting an ever increasing number of threats.

Consumerization, social, mobile, cloud, big data and IoT are all contributing an increased risk of security and data breaches . The data center is more vulnerable than ever. New threats emerge daily and even hourly and we hear reports of major attacks daily on the nightly news.

I recently published my trend report Enterprise IT Security Trends To Watch In 2014 out on slideshare.  This  trend report provides an overview of Enterprise Information Technology Trends to Watch in 2014.

Below I’ve provided you some articles on this trend that I thought you would want to read.

Source Title
Channel Pro Cybersecurity: The landscape in 2014
Trusteer The Most Dangerous Malware Trends for 2014
Information Age 8 cyber security predictions for 2014
ZDNet Cybersecurity in 2014: A roundup of predictions
PCWorld Security prediction for 2014: It will get worse
PerspecSys Cloud Security – 5 Predictions of What We’ll See in 2014
Enterprise Networking Planet 5 Network Security Predictions for 2014
Real Business 14 IT security predictions for 2014
Info Security Top 13 Cyber Security predictions for 2014…
Cisco Our Unofficial Top Ten Cyber Trends for 2014

 

2014 Technology Trends Research

While everyone was enjoying the holiday break, I was researching emerging technology trends and predictions for 2014.

I’ve selected 10 trends for my list this year.  I have about 20-25 trends I am really tracking, but I am only able to profile 10 at this time.   Throughout the rest of 2014 I hope to profile some of the others.   Some of the trends on my list are more mature in their adoption and development than others.  However, those that made my list are the trends that I feel CIOs and IT leaders will be wanting information on.

My trend reports always provide a rich set of resources that community members can use to learn more about the trend.   These trend reports are 15-20 pages and typically have the following table of contents:

  1. Quotes from Analysts that define the trend and the market size or growth
  2. Important developments / predictions about this overall trend we should watch in 2014
  3. Overall trend adoption drivers & challenges as well as implications
  4. Links to Industry Analysts sites and blogs that talk about this trend
  5. Links to important Industry and Business publications/websites that talk about this trend
  6. Links to major IT Industry Vendors websites/portals for this trend
  7. Links to social media platforms, networks, and communities that are organized around this trend
  8. A list of online Influencers that regularly post on Twitter
  9. Websites and resources on ibm.com (my employer) that relate to this trend
  10. Selected reports and white papers about this trend that I have found online.
  11. Selected books, videos, and other related resources

If you follow me out on social media or this blog,  you’ll always have the latest news on these trend reports.

IBM’s 5 in 5 List for 2013: Humans and Computers Become Smarter Together

IBM 5in5 2013Every year around this time, the IBM Research team publishes a list called “5 in 5”.   The list is based on research into market and societal trends as well as emerging technologies from IBM’s Research labs around the world.  As a foresight analyst, I love these annual lists as it’s a little bit of trends research readout and a little bit of scenario planning that’s all designed to get people thinking and talking about how our lives will be transformed in the near future by technologies that are being developed today.

This year’s IBM 5 in 5 explores the idea that humans and computers will become smarter together and as a result of learning insights from the vast amounts of data.  The 2013 5 In 5 lists explore scenarios in education, retail, healthcare, security and our cities.   IBM says that in the future, everything will learn – driven by a new era of cognitive systems where machines will learn, reason and engage with us in a more natural and personalized way. These innovations are already beginning to emerge, enabled by cloud computing, big data analytics and learning technologies all coming together. Over time, these computers will get smarter and more customized through interactions with data, devices and us.  Humans and computers will learn faster and the result will be that we will be able to solve previously unsolvable problems in education, retail, healthcare, security and our cities.

So this year’s 5 in 5 from IBM is as follows

1. The Classroom Will Learn You.    IBM says that the classroom of the future will give educators the tools to learn about every student, providing them with a tailored curriculum from kindergarten to high school and on to employment. In the next five years the classroom will learn about each student using longitudinal data such as test scores, attendance and student’s behavior on e-learning platforms, not just aptitude tests.  Sophisticated analytics delivered over the cloud will provide decision support to teachers so they can predict students who are most at risk, their roadblocks, and then suggest measures to help students conquer their challenges based on their individual learning style.  For more, read the full story around “The Classroom Will Learn You” 
2. Buying Local Will Beat Online.   Today, most physical stores are limited to the insights they can gain at the point of sale – and the trend of showrooming is making it harder to compete with online retailers who compete solely on price.  IBM says that In five years, new innovations will make buying local du jour once again.  Savvy retailers will use the immediacy of the store and proximity to customers to create experiences that cannot be replicated by online-only retail.  They will magnify the digital experience by bringing the web right to where the shopper can physically touch it.   For more, read the full story around “Buying Local Will Beat Online” 
3. Doctors Will Routinely Use Your DNA To Keep You Well.   Imagine if treatment could be more specific and precise – where computers could help doctors understand how a tumor affects a patient down to their DNA and present a collective set of medications shown to best attack the cancer.   IBM is predicting that in five years, advances in big data analytics and emerging cloud-based cognitive systems coupled with breakthroughs in genomic research and testing could help doctors to accurately diagnose cancer and create personalized cancer treatment plans for millions of patients around the world.  Smart machines will take the output of full genome sequencing and scour vast repositories of medical records and publications to learn and quickly provide specific and actionable insights on treatment options for oncologists.  For more, read the full story around “Doctors Will Routinely Use Your DNA To Keep You Well”    
4. A Digital Guardian Will Protect You Online.  IBM says that by 2019, each of us could be protected with our own digital guardian that will become trained to focus on our digital and physical assets, offering a new level of identity theft protection. Security will assimilate contextual, situational and historical data to verify a person’s identity on different devices. By learning about users, a digital guardian can make inferences about what’s normal or reasonable activity and what’s not, acting as an advisor when they want it to.  For more, read the full story around “A Digital Guardian Will Protect You Online”     
5. The City Will Help You Live In It.    IBM has been leading the discussion around Smarter Cities  for about five years.   IBM is saying now that within five years Smarter Cities will be able to react more in real time.  Computers will learn to understand what people need, what they like, what they do, and how they move from place to place.   Soon it will be possible for cities and their leaders to understand and digest new information freely provided by citizens, knowing which city resources are needed, where and when, so the city can dynamically optimize around the needs of the citizens.   For more, read the full story around “The City Will Help you Live In It”.

There is much more content for you to learn more about each one of the 5 in 5 prediction scenarios.   For more information, you can check out

And, if you want to, you can explore all the past lists of IBM 5 in 5 projects and how those technologies have progressed since appearing on the list.  For that go to Five in Five—where are they now?