2015 Trend Reports Are Now Available

Public versions of my 2015 Trend Reports are now available at my HorizonWatching Slideshare account.   Direct links to the 2015 reports are as follows:

I’d love to hear your feedback on these reports.  Let me know how you are using them.   I’m on Twitter and LinkedIn… so those are probably the best places to keep in touch with me.

IBM Announces 11 New IBM Fellows

Video: 50th Anniversary of the IBM Fellow Program

IBM is a great place to work because there are so many smart people.  And the best of the bunch are called IBM Fellows

The IBM Fellows program was founded in 1962 by Thomas J. Watson, Jr., as a way to promote creativity among the company’s “most exceptional” technical professionals. The following year, the first appointments were made and the tradition has since carried on every year. The Fellow honor acknowledges an IBM Researcher’s important contributions and industry-leading innovations in developing some of the world’s most important technologies.

Recently, IBM announced a record number of eleven scientists to the 2014 class of IBM Fellows.  The 2014 IBM Fellows have influenced a broad array of technologies in the following areas: Brain-inspired cognitive computing, security platforms, computational science, cloud computing, business database and analytics, and high performance, enterprise storage technologies. IBM Fellows have a history of pushing the boundaries of science and technology to deliver improved solutions for constantly changing, global business needs.

The 2014 IBM Fellows represent a microcosm of IBM’s diverse global research and technical community. Their backgrounds vary—from a village in southern India to the holy city of Jerusalem to a small town in central Kentucky.   However, from different starting points, today these 11 leaders in their respective fields have reached the same destination…they are now IBM Fellows.

Congrats to the new IBM Fellows!

Top 18 Trends in Application Software Development for 2014

Note:  The following blog was published in March of 2014.  If you are looking for my 2015 tech trends reports head on over to the post: 2015 Trend Reports Are Now Available

 

Below you will find my list of the top trends in 2014 for application software development along with a information about my latest Application Software Development Trends to Watch in 2014 report that you can download out on slideshare.

Trends in Software Development

The emergence of a new computing era built on a secure platform of mobile, social, cloud, and big data/analytics capabilities is impacting business models and processes.  Keeping pace with new trends such as mobile, big data analytics, and the growing move towards cloud-based systems has brought new and more challenging issues to the forefront of application development.   Application software developers must transform old legacy applications to align with fast changing business needs. In today’s environment, application development teams need increased agility, new skill sets, distributed teams, and more complex software engineering methods.

Here then, is my list of top software development trends for 2014

  1. Innovate for the “Third Platform”:  Legacy is old. Developing on the third platform will accelerate in 2014. However, it requires new skills in Security, Social, Cloud, Mobile, Big Data/Analytics, IoT, HCI, Gamification, and Cognitive Computing.
  2. Use of APIs Accelerates: In 2014, we are going to see a huge leap forward in how APIs are put to use to drive innovation and help organizations be more efficient and profitable.
  3. Designing For Hybrids: Developers must design private cloud services with a hybrid future in mind . Must make sure future integration and interoperability are possible, while securing the enterprise at the same time.
  4. IoT & Embedded Systems: Demand for skilled developers who can develop sense and respond systems and other IoT-based solutions increases.
  5. Integrating Front and Back Office: Growing integration requirements between back office IT and operations – for example with smart physical hardware (pumps, switches etc) capturing info relevant to operations, business management; cyber security; etc.
  6. Secure The Enterprise!: With the advent of distributed systems, mobile, IOT, etc, there is no longer a fixed perimeter to fully protect now. The ‘attack surface’ is now huge. Developers will called upon to secure the enterprise.
  7. Software Defined “Everything”: In 2014, the buzz around Software Defined will increase. Enterprises and service providers force clear definitions . Expect numerous product announcements from vendors.
  8. Application Containers: The next big thing is containerizing and virtualizing the application, not just the machine. Watch companies include Docker and ZeroVM.
  9. DevOps Adoption Accelerates: More than just about automating deployments, DevOps requires cultural change, including coordination, collaboration and trust among the teams that participate in the application lifecycle.
  10. Open Trend Continues: Open Source, Open Standards, OpenStack, OpenFlow, Open Compute, and Open Data.
  11. Crowd Sourcing/Funding: Crowd sourcing of everything. Now projects are crowd sourced and crowd funded. Support is now crowd supplied in places like stack overflow.
  12. Hack Days: Becoming more popular as a way to develop innovative new software and features within a tight deadline.
  13. Hadoop: The Hadoop ecosystem is maturing. Expect a whole new set of real-time analysis capabilities.
  14. HTML5 Growth: Businesses have started to truly understand the advantages (and limitations) of HTML5 in the enterprise. In 2014 we will see a new focus toward the ‘write once, play everywhere’ concept.
  15. Secure Enterprise Mobile Apps: Developers need to roll out more secure alternatives to popular mobile apps. New pressures to make sure all enterprise apps are thoroughly vetted from a software security standpoint.
  16. Application Performance Management: Vendors and their customers increasingly scrambling to address and control under-performing application environments.
  17. Consumerization: Enterprise Developers need to keep an eye on what is being developed for Consumers. That next great consumer device, app, or solution may just be what’s needed for the enterprise.
  18. Skills in Demand: Developers who have deep cloud, mobile, big data/analytics and security development skills will be increasingly in demand . Programming skills valued include: 1. Java / Javascript , 2. C# / ASP.NET, 3. C++, 4. Python, 5. PHP, 6. SQL / MySQL, 7. HTML5 / CSS3, 8. Ruby on Rails, 9. Hadoop, 10. iOS / Android (source: Cybercoders).

 

Wearables has a big place in the future of Mobile Computing

As mentioned previously, I am working on a Trend Report on the topic of Wearables.  The more I work on it, the more content I develop….pushing back the publication date further and further.  The report will be similar in look and feel to my other published trend reports.

Mobile computing devices continue to shrink in size and adapt to free up our hands, making it more convenient than ever for users to multitask.  Wearable computing, or wearables, is the buzz of the mobile community in 2014.   Consumers are increasingly buying the fitness bands and trackers as a way to monitor their activities.  And new devices like smart glasses and smart watches are invading the market.  As they do, application developers are beginning to see new opportunities for applications that gather data, perform analysis on that data, and then provide analytics and visualizations back to the user.

Juniper Research says “The retail revenue from smart wearable devices, including smart watches and glasses, will reach $19 billion by 2018.”   Gartner says “The worldwide revenue from wearable electronic devices, apps and services for fitness and personal health is anticipated to be $1.6 billion this year, increasing to $5 billion by 2016”.

While the wearables market still has very much a consumer feel to it, 2014 will be the year leading enterprises are piloting fitness trackers for employee wellness / fitness programs and smart glasses / smart watches for enhancing worker productivity.   Adding further momentum to the growth of the market will be the entry of most of the major platforms into the space, including Google, Microsoft, Samsung, and Apple.

For more on the the future of wearables, check out the following resources:

I hope to have my Trend Report published in the next week or two.  Until then, check out my other Trend Reports at  http://www.slideshare.net/horizonwatching

Social Business Trends and Prediction Articles for 2014

When implemented successfully, social collaboration technologies connect people to other people, both within an enterprise and externally across enterprises. When people get connected digitally, it strengthens the relationships those people have with each other. And it increases the productivity of those people relative to the business transactions they are conducting.

I recently published my trend report  Social Business Trends to Watch in 2014.   The report provides an overview of Social Business and what sub-trends to watch in 2014.

Below I’ve provided you a list of 10 articles that I thought you might be interested in

Source Title
AIIM 2014: The Year Collaboration Goes Social through People
Altimeter Group 2014 Trends: Organizing Around the Social Customer
MindlinkSoft What’s next for business collaboration? Six Trends emerging in 2014
Colligo  Top 5 Mobile Collaboration Predictions For 2014
Altimeter Group Infographic: State of Social Business 2013 and Outlook for 2014
NMK Workplace collaboration technology to mature in 2014
Clara Shih (hearsay Social) Big Idea 2014: Social Business Grows Up
Forbes 2014:  The Year Social HR Matters
Jim Whitehurst Big Idea 2014: Collaborative Innovation Shaping and Changing Our World
View Do Labs Enterprise Social 2014 Predictions

You can download my report via slideshare.

Cognitive Computing Trend and Prediction Articles for 2014

We are fast-approaching a new era of computing called cognitive computing. Cognitive computing systems will learn, interact and adapt naturally to support consumers, knowledge workers and business decision makers. This new computing era is not an incremental change. It will disrupt industries and how work gets performed within those industries. It signifies a fundamental shift in how machines interact with us and the environment.

I recently published my trend report  Cognitive Computing Trends to Watch in 2014.   The report provides an overview of Cognitive Computing and what to watch in 2014 in related topics like IBM Watson, Artificial Intelligence, and Smart Machines.   In the deck, I provide  important trends and predictions about Cognitive Computing trends in 2014.

Below I’ve provided you some articles on this trend that I thought you would want to read.


Source Title
The Economist Group The machine of a new soul
BGR What might finally take Siri to the next level? You.
IPWatchdog What is a Computer?
opus Research 10 Trends to Watch: Conversational Commerce 2014
inside BigData A Look Ahead at Big Data and Cognitive Computing
Wired Innovation Insights Artificial Intelligence Set to Deliver ‘Wow’
CSC Becoming a Believer in Artificial Intelligence
New York Times Brainlike Computers, Learning From Experience
IBM Bringing Cognitive Computing to the Enterprise
The Bridge Cognition-as-a-Service will be big in 2014

 

Business Analytics Trends and Prediction Articles for 2014

Leading-edge businesses are already embracing advanced analytics solutions and services that can help them identify their most profitable customers, accelerate product innovation, optimize supply chains and pricing, and identify the true drivers of financial performance. These leading-edge businesses will be successfully prepared for the cognitive systems era.

I recently published my trend report Business Analytics:  Trends to Watch in 2014 out on slideshare.   The report provides an overview of Big data and what to watch in 2014.  Below I’ve provided you some articles on this trend that I thought you would want to read.

Source Title
B2C Business 2 Community 2014 – The Year of Predictive Analytics for SMBs
Information Week IT Must Deliver Visual, Mobile-Friendly Data Analytics
Enterprise Apps Today Top Business Intelligence Trends For 2014
Heather Hiles (Pathbrite) Big Idea 2014: Move Over, Big Data—It’s Time for Personal Analytics
Forbes Five Business Intelligence Predicitons for 2014
Cloud times Predictive Analytics is the Next Growing Sector in Big Data Market
International Institute for Analytics Forecasting the Future of Analytics: 2014 Edition
IIIA (IIA) Announces Nine Analytics Predictions for 2014
Information Management 11 Data Visualization Experts You Should Follow on Twitter
Revolution Analytics 14 Analytics Predictions for 2014

 

Big Data Trend and Prediction Articles for 2014

Our appetite for creating, gathering, and storing data continues to grow and grow and grow. This appetite and resulting information explosion is creating all sorts of challenges for information management professionals everywhere. This trend called Big Data. Big Data is an important trend to get right as it lays the foundation for the cognitive systems era we are about to enter.

I recently published my trend report Big Data: Trends to Watch in 2014 out on slideshare.   The report provides an overview of Big data and what to watch in 2014. Below I’ve provided you some articles on this trend that I thought you would want to read.

Source Title
ZDNet Predicting Big Data’s 2014
EMC Tech Predictions for 2014:  Bringing Hadoop to Your Big Data
Inside BigData Big Data Predictions for 2014
EnterpriseApps Today Top Big Data Trends For 2014
Forbes $16.1 Billion Big Data Market: 2014 Preditions from IDC and IIA
Information Week IBM’s Predictions: 6 Big Data Trends In 2014
BCW Big Data Predictions For 2014
Source Talk Five 2014 Big Data Predictions from a Chief Data Officer
Forbes Five Business Intelligence Predicitons for 2014
Thought Experiments 2014: The Year of Data Disruption

 

Internet of Things (IoT) Trend and Prediction Articles for 2014

The Internet of Things (IoT) is made up of physical objects (“things”) that have chips, sensors and actuators embedded in them that allow the sensing, capturing and communication of all types of data. These devices are then linked through both wired and wireless networks to the Internet. The IT challenge is to design IoT enabled systems and then leverage the information collected as a tool to help decision makers make better decisions.

I recently published my trend report Internet of Things: Trends to Watch in 2014 out on slideshare.   The report provides an overview of Internet of Things (IoT) and what to watch in 2014. Below I’ve provided you some articles on this trend that I thought you would want to read.

Source Title
InterSog How wearable technology will change future mobile paradigm [Part 1]
ComputerWorld.IN Internet of Things: 2013 Highlights & Outlook 2014
CNBC Wearable tech: What it needs to be a game-changer
Credit Suisse The Future of Wearable Technology
ZDNet AT&T’s predictions for the enterprise in 2014
Cisco Predictions 2014: Wager on the Internet of Everything
Digital-MR Driving Better Business Decisions With Social Media Research And The Internet Of Things
Forbes Credit Suisse Says Warable Tech The Next Big Thing
InfoTales 5 Things to Look Forward to in the Future of Wearable Technology
MsM News Will the ‘Internet of things’ be a thing in 2014?

 

Enterprise IT Security Trends and Prediction Articles for 2014

Security is one of those long term trends that just continues to grow in importance and size. Information security professionals face the challenge of detecting an ever increasing number of threats.

Consumerization, social, mobile, cloud, big data and IoT are all contributing an increased risk of security and data breaches . The data center is more vulnerable than ever. New threats emerge daily and even hourly and we hear reports of major attacks daily on the nightly news.

I recently published my trend report Enterprise IT Security Trends To Watch In 2014 out on slideshare.  This  trend report provides an overview of Enterprise Information Technology Trends to Watch in 2014.

Below I’ve provided you some articles on this trend that I thought you would want to read.

Source Title
Channel Pro Cybersecurity: The landscape in 2014
Trusteer The Most Dangerous Malware Trends for 2014
Information Age 8 cyber security predictions for 2014
ZDNet Cybersecurity in 2014: A roundup of predictions
PCWorld Security prediction for 2014: It will get worse
PerspecSys Cloud Security – 5 Predictions of What We’ll See in 2014
Enterprise Networking Planet 5 Network Security Predictions for 2014
Real Business 14 IT security predictions for 2014
Info Security Top 13 Cyber Security predictions for 2014…
Cisco Our Unofficial Top Ten Cyber Trends for 2014

 

2014 Technology Trends Research

While everyone was enjoying the holiday break, I was researching emerging technology trends and predictions for 2014.

I’ve selected 10 trends for my list this year.  I have about 20-25 trends I am really tracking, but I am only able to profile 10 at this time.   Throughout the rest of 2014 I hope to profile some of the others.   Some of the trends on my list are more mature in their adoption and development than others.  However, those that made my list are the trends that I feel CIOs and IT leaders will be wanting information on.

My trend reports always provide a rich set of resources that community members can use to learn more about the trend.   These trend reports are 15-20 pages and typically have the following table of contents:

  1. Quotes from Analysts that define the trend and the market size or growth
  2. Important developments / predictions about this overall trend we should watch in 2014
  3. Overall trend adoption drivers & challenges as well as implications
  4. Links to Industry Analysts sites and blogs that talk about this trend
  5. Links to important Industry and Business publications/websites that talk about this trend
  6. Links to major IT Industry Vendors websites/portals for this trend
  7. Links to social media platforms, networks, and communities that are organized around this trend
  8. A list of online Influencers that regularly post on Twitter
  9. Websites and resources on ibm.com (my employer) that relate to this trend
  10. Selected reports and white papers about this trend that I have found online.
  11. Selected books, videos, and other related resources

If you follow me out on social media or this blog,  you’ll always have the latest news on these trend reports.

IBM’s 5 in 5 List for 2013: Humans and Computers Become Smarter Together

IBM 5in5 2013Every year around this time, the IBM Research team publishes a list called “5 in 5”.   The list is based on research into market and societal trends as well as emerging technologies from IBM’s Research labs around the world.  As a foresight analyst, I love these annual lists as it’s a little bit of trends research readout and a little bit of scenario planning that’s all designed to get people thinking and talking about how our lives will be transformed in the near future by technologies that are being developed today.

This year’s IBM 5 in 5 explores the idea that humans and computers will become smarter together and as a result of learning insights from the vast amounts of data.  The 2013 5 In 5 lists explore scenarios in education, retail, healthcare, security and our cities.   IBM says that in the future, everything will learn – driven by a new era of cognitive systems where machines will learn, reason and engage with us in a more natural and personalized way. These innovations are already beginning to emerge, enabled by cloud computing, big data analytics and learning technologies all coming together. Over time, these computers will get smarter and more customized through interactions with data, devices and us.  Humans and computers will learn faster and the result will be that we will be able to solve previously unsolvable problems in education, retail, healthcare, security and our cities.

So this year’s 5 in 5 from IBM is as follows

1. The Classroom Will Learn You.    IBM says that the classroom of the future will give educators the tools to learn about every student, providing them with a tailored curriculum from kindergarten to high school and on to employment. In the next five years the classroom will learn about each student using longitudinal data such as test scores, attendance and student’s behavior on e-learning platforms, not just aptitude tests.  Sophisticated analytics delivered over the cloud will provide decision support to teachers so they can predict students who are most at risk, their roadblocks, and then suggest measures to help students conquer their challenges based on their individual learning style.  For more, read the full story around “The Classroom Will Learn You” 
2. Buying Local Will Beat Online.   Today, most physical stores are limited to the insights they can gain at the point of sale – and the trend of showrooming is making it harder to compete with online retailers who compete solely on price.  IBM says that In five years, new innovations will make buying local du jour once again.  Savvy retailers will use the immediacy of the store and proximity to customers to create experiences that cannot be replicated by online-only retail.  They will magnify the digital experience by bringing the web right to where the shopper can physically touch it.   For more, read the full story around “Buying Local Will Beat Online” 
3. Doctors Will Routinely Use Your DNA To Keep You Well.   Imagine if treatment could be more specific and precise – where computers could help doctors understand how a tumor affects a patient down to their DNA and present a collective set of medications shown to best attack the cancer.   IBM is predicting that in five years, advances in big data analytics and emerging cloud-based cognitive systems coupled with breakthroughs in genomic research and testing could help doctors to accurately diagnose cancer and create personalized cancer treatment plans for millions of patients around the world.  Smart machines will take the output of full genome sequencing and scour vast repositories of medical records and publications to learn and quickly provide specific and actionable insights on treatment options for oncologists.  For more, read the full story around “Doctors Will Routinely Use Your DNA To Keep You Well”    
4. A Digital Guardian Will Protect You Online.  IBM says that by 2019, each of us could be protected with our own digital guardian that will become trained to focus on our digital and physical assets, offering a new level of identity theft protection. Security will assimilate contextual, situational and historical data to verify a person’s identity on different devices. By learning about users, a digital guardian can make inferences about what’s normal or reasonable activity and what’s not, acting as an advisor when they want it to.  For more, read the full story around “A Digital Guardian Will Protect You Online”     
5. The City Will Help You Live In It.    IBM has been leading the discussion around Smarter Cities  for about five years.   IBM is saying now that within five years Smarter Cities will be able to react more in real time.  Computers will learn to understand what people need, what they like, what they do, and how they move from place to place.   Soon it will be possible for cities and their leaders to understand and digest new information freely provided by citizens, knowing which city resources are needed, where and when, so the city can dynamically optimize around the needs of the citizens.   For more, read the full story around “The City Will Help you Live In It”.

There is much more content for you to learn more about each one of the 5 in 5 prediction scenarios.   For more information, you can check out

And, if you want to, you can explore all the past lists of IBM 5 in 5 projects and how those technologies have progressed since appearing on the list.  For that go to Five in Five—where are they now?