Application Software Development Trends and Prediction Articles for 2014

Keeping pace with new trends such as mobile, big data analytics, and the growing move towards cloud-based systems has brought new and more challenging issues to the forefront of application development. In today’s environment, application development teams are exploring ways to increase agility, develop new skill sets, implement distributed teams, and implement more complex software engineering methods.

I recently published my trend report Application Software Development Trends to Watch in 2014.  It is over on slideshare.    Below I’ve provided you a list of 10 articles that you might be interested in.

Source Title
Zenoss Why 2014 is the year of the Software Defined Data Center
Computer Weekly The future of application development
SDNZone SDN Predictions 2014: How SDN Will Transform IT
ZDNet Enterprise software 2014: Three themes to ponder
sdnCentral SDN and NFV Technology Trends to Watch in 2014
Fierce Wireless Tech SDN will be 2014’s biggest network trend, says Strategy Analytics
The Guardian 10 app trends for 2014: privacy, wearables, education and more
Tech Republic 10 predictions for open source in 2014
APM Digest 14 APM Predictions for 2014
Web Ascender 14 Website Trends for 2014

 

Forrester: Top 10 Trends in Enterprise Architecture

forrester_logo Forrester recently released a report by Brian Hopkins, Principal Analyst titled: “The Top 10 Technology Trends EA Should Watch: 2012 To 2014″ that caught my eye.   The report identifies trends that are expected to have a strong impact on IT over the next few years.

Forrester sorts the ten trends into four technology categories: Application platforms, integration, infrastructure and operations, and mobile computing,

Application Platforms

1. Elastic Application Platforms Emerge.  Automatically scaling processor and storage resources up or down, depending on workload.

2. Platform as a Service Crosses the Chasm.  Application-development tools abstracted from the underlying cloud infrastructure, freeing developers from many of the tedious details with which they would otherwise have to cope.

Integration

3. Data Services, Virtualization Reach Critical Mass.  Extending enterprise data warehouse or to operate in a multitechnology environment with a mix of physical and virtual data stores

4. Holistic Integration Enables Agile Enterprises.  More comprehensive tools to achieve application, process and data integration

5. Social IT Becomes Enterprise Plumbing.  Social interaction will become part of normal workflows, and applications must be architected from the inception to enable this

Infrastructure and Operations

6. Improved Virtualization Sets Stage for Private Cloud.  Expect more focus on virtualization maturity to raise utilization rates, standardization and automation.

7. Always On, Always Available Is the New Expectation.  Building highly available infrastructures that can deliver continuous services to end users by leveraging technology improvements such as cloud-based disaster-recovery services.

8. Network Architecture Evolves to Meet Cloud Demands.  Building fundamentally different networks to accommodate advances in server and storage virtualization that pave the path to cloud computing.

Mobile Computing

9. Personal Device Momentum Changes Mobile-Platform Strategy.  Information workers are an increasingly empowered group and will dictate the technology used to solve business issues.

10. ‘App Internet’ Ushers in the Next Generation of Computing.  Improvements in the underlying mobile-platform technology to fully enable context-aware and secure application-based mobile computing.

The full report can be accessed at “The Top 10 Technology Trends EA Should Watch: 2012 To 2014

Gartner: Top 10 Business Apps for Tablets

gartner logo Gartner says worldwide media tablet sales to end users will total 63.6 million units in 2011, a 261.4 percent increase from 2010 sales of 17.6 million units.  Yes…that says 261%!!.

As consumers increasingly buy these devices they inevitably start bringing them to work, pushing the adoption of business applications for tablets.   Gartner expects this adoption to increase substantially over the next few years as businesses start rolling out enterprise applications that support major business initiatives.

According to Gartner, the top 10 commercial business application categories for tablet devices are:

  1. Sales Automation.  Sales automation systems for customer collateral, sales presentations, and ordering systems
  2. Business intelligence.  Analytical and performance applications with management dashboards
  3. Email.  Containerized email to separate corporate messaging environments from personal email
  4. Collaboration.  Collaboration applications for meetings
  5. File Utilities.  For sharing and document distribution
  6. Business Processes.  General corporate/government enterprise applications for CRM, ERP, SCM and messaging
  7. Healthcare.  Medical support systems for doctors, nurses, and physical therapists
  8. Desktop Virtualization.  Hosted virtual desktop agents to provide secure remote operations of traditional desktop applications and environments
  9. Social Media.  Social networking applications with intelligent business insight
  10. Board Books.  For secure document and report distribution

For more detail on Gartner’s thoughts on this subject, see it’s press release “Gartner Identifies Top 10 Commercial Business Applications for Tablet Devices

Mobile Computing Poised To Impact B2B In 2011

Unless you have been living on another planet, you realize that mobile computing and the ecosystem that surrounds it is a major growth industry.  5 years ago, mobile meant being able to make phone calls with your cell phone and perhaps accessing the internet with your laptop. Today, mobile means something totally different, thanks to the introduction of the smartphone, the Iphone, Google’s Android, and just this past year, the iPad. 

HorizonWatching Mobile Computing - 2011 Today, more people are working through remote or mobile access than ever before. Mobile devices are increasingly being used for web searches and applications traditionally done from a desktop. Over the last year there has been a focus on the development of mobile applications, services and cloud infrastructures, both public and private. These efforts will focus on delivering new innovative services to employees, business partners, consumers, and citizens on any device, anywhere.

To stay competitive organizations are extending their resources, data, and connectivity to people wherever they are…whether that is in face-to-face customer engagements or in an operational setting, such as a retail store, supply chain logistics, or field service. In addition, users are demanding access where ever they happen to be….whether they’re in their car, on a plane, in a hotel, or on a weekend camping trip.

Mobile email, mobile websites and mobile applications are becoming viable channels in which to conduct business.  As smartphone adoption continue to grow through the roof, we are now seeing with the popularity of the iPad the emergence of the tablet form factor. I believe we are moving towards a place where the typical business user might have three devices….a laptop, a smartphone, and a tablet. IT developers will need to accommodate all three display form factors into their application environment.

And as a result, the mobile application infrastructure will need become more sophisticated. Enabling technologies will be new devices, faster networks, new location-aware technology, and improved mobile applications.

One area of focus today is Mobile Marketing. Consumers are wanting to use their mobile devices to help them do searches, get information on products and services, and help them make purchase decisions.  As consumers get used to using their mobile devices for consumer product purchases, they will increasingly want to use their devices in a business context. Marketing and sales managers need to understand the potential uses of mobile devices and how to apply the mobile marketing techniques to increase sales.

Some Analyst Perspectives

“Brands seeking a persistent presence with their customers must have a strategy to engage with their customers via mobile phones.” – Forrester, Sept. 2010 (link)

“59 percent of mobile consumers plan to use their mobile phone for holiday shopping and planning holiday celebrations, not including making phone calls” – Mobile Marketing Association, Nov. 2010 (Link)

“Consumers are relying on their mobile phones for more than talking and texting these days. They are using them for everything from reading and writing emails to watching the news, trading stocks, and booking hotel rooms.” – Forrester, Sept. 2010 (link)

“Mobile Proximity Marketing In U.S. to Reach $750M By 2011 And Nearly $6B By 2015” – Borrell Associates, Oct 2010 (link)

Adoption Drivers:

  • Growth of smartphones/tablets
  • The application development community is focused on developing mobile web application services and improvements in apps, browsers, and search will push new adoption.
  • Growth of location based apps
  • Faster networks (4G )
  • Mobile worker efficiency and productivity
  • Gen Y lives mobile / wireless life and will expect that in B2B transactions
  • Mobile devices are increasingly being used for web searches and applications traditionally done from a desktop.

Challenges:

  • Integrating mobile into business processes
  • Mobile analytics
  • Coverage in rural and undeveloped regions
  • Cost, Security issues.
  • Managing productivity of a remote workforce.
  • Reliability of mobile technologies

Implications for B2B:

  • Innovative mobile solutions enable new business models
  • Business processes and applications have to be re-engineered for mobile.
  • Expect increased interest in technologies that can boost the productivity of a remote workforce.
  • Growth countries use mobile as a leapfrogging approach to connect the base of the socio-economic pyramid to the formal economy.
  • Emerging solutions will include voice search, location-aware, and mobile video.
  • There will be increased focus on the development of enterprise-based mobile applications, services and cloud infrastructures, both public and private.
  • Knowledge economy produces a global and virtual workforce.
  • Mobile becomes a critical part of Unified Communication solutions

Some key mobile trends to watch in 2011 include Voice Search, Location Based Services, Video, Gaming, Event-Based Marketing, and Augmented Reality. On the horizon are applications like Mobile Video Collaboration solutions and 3D Mobile Internet allowing customers to browse 3D pictures/videos of products.  All this has implications for business processes throughout the organization. Some older companies will need to change culture and transform workflows as a result.  CIOs and IT leaders need to understand how mobile fits into their organization’s enterprise wide unified communications and social collaboration strategy.

For More Information – Internet

Gartner: Five Social Collaboration Software Predictions

Gartner - Social Software 2010 Earlier this week, Gartner released a report “Predicts 2010: Social Software Is an Enterprise Reality” in which the analyst firm provides some predictions on what is in store for social collaboration software in 2010 and the years ahead.   Increasingly, businesses are finding that applications like Twitter and Facebook can provide value.  That is translating into increased adoption of social collaboration platforms by enterprises of all sizes.

Here’s my summary of 5 predictions Gartner offers in the report:

  1. Bye Bye Email?:   Gartner says social networking will prove to be a more productive tool for many types of communications.  Gartner’s prediction:  By 2014, social networking services will replace e-mail as the primary vehicle for interpersonal communications for 20 percent of business users. 
  2. Internal Microblogging Efforts Fail:   The scale of Twitter is so large, enterprise users will find it more valuable than internal microblogging platforms.  Gartner’s prediction: By 2012, over 50 percent of enterprises will use activity streams that include microblogging, but stand-alone enterprise microblogging will have less than 5 percent penetration.
  3. IT-Led Social Media Projects Fail:   Gartner says that IT departments just don’t have the skill set to design and deliver an social media solution.  Gartner’s prediction:  Through 2012, over 70 percent of IT-dominated social media initiatives will fail, while only 50% of business-led initiatives will fail. 
  4. Mobile Apps To Influence Desktop Apps:  Gartner says that IT departments will learn new ways of developing apps for SmartPhones and be able to use that knowledge to design better apps for desktops.  Gartner’s prediction:  Within five years, 70 percent of collaboration and communications applications designed on PCs will be modeled after user experience lessons from smartphone collaboration applications.  
  5. Enterprises Slow To Adopt Social Network Analysis:  Gartner says SNA tools will remain an untapped source of insight in most organizations.  Gartner’s prediction:  Through 2015, only 25 percent of enterprises will routinely utilize social network analysis to improve performance and productivity.

Much more information can be found in the report “Predicts 2010: Social Software Is an Enterprise Reality” or, if you don’t have access, check out the summary in the press release, Gartner Reveals Five Social Software Predictions for 2010 and Beyond

VentureBeat: Venture Capital Trends For 2010

venturebeat_logo There was an article published at the end of December that I thought those in interested in the venture capital trends for 2010 might want to read.  The article appeared on the VentureBeat site and was written by two partners at Grotech Ventures.  It caught my eye as it discussed where money might be flowing in 2010.

A quick summary of the article:

  • Social Media.  The authors say that social media will be a hot sector.  While there are still many questions about how to monetize the conversational and real-time nature of social media, the authors expects social media to move towards profitability in 2010.
  • Cloud Computing.  The authors expect money to continue to flow to the cloud in 2010.  The financial value of cost savings, infrastructure savings and productivity enhancement will drive continued investment. 
  • Prosumer Technologies.  The authors say this space will fizzle in 2010 and we will see a re-separation of consumer and professional devices, having a trickle-down effect on the ecosystems of startup companies developing for the iPhone, Droid, and other platforms.   It’s interesting to read this view as Deloitte recently came out with their 2010 Technology Predictions (Deloitte: Seven Technology Predictions for 2010), and one of those predictions was that the Prosumer trend will continue to be hot and cause disruption for IT departments.
  • Freemium Model.   The authors say that start-ups should understand that the gap between free and paying customers is widening. As customer attention spans shorten, their brand loyalty diminishes as well.  Users tend to move move on to the next trendy, free offering.  This will put pressure on providers to innovate at an incredibly rapid pace in order to keep pace with market demand.  For more on the freemium business model, see Wikipedia’s article on Freemium.

Check out the full article at VentureBeat “Venture Capital 2010:  Hot (and cold) sectors to watch”.

AdAge: 5 Mobile Advertising Trends To Watch In 2010

ad age_logo Mobile is such a megatrend.  Mobile technologies, applications and services will be big a big story in 2010 and this shift in computing will impact our lives forever.  That is a fact we can not deny.   So I have my radar tuned to any content that helps me understand the underlying drivers and trends.

AdAge recently had an article titled Five Mobile Trends for 2010 that caught my eye.  It provides us with a perspective of the mobile megatrend from those in the advertising industry.  The two authors Dan Neumann (Organic) and Allison Mooney (MobileBehavior) have been focusing on the mobility trend and the impact it will have on advertising.  The article provides their thoughts on the key trends.

Here’s my summary of the five trends they see…

  1. Local Advertising.  Mobile will completely revolutionize the way local advertisers can connect with potential customers.  Mobile search and location based services will allow small local retailers and service providers to reach consumers like they’ve never
  2. Shopping Applications.  The growth in adoption of mobile shopping applications (apps such as price comparison, user product reviews, coupons) will continue to alter in-store consumer behavior. 
  3. Branded Apps and Display Media.   The authors expect that brands and agencies will continue to build their own branded apps.  However thanks to Google, they will also have more attractive display media options.  The authors say to watch out for Google as it attempts to one-up the iPhone app experience.
  4. Outdoor Advertising.   The authors give a few examples of where mobile users can now interact with outdoor ads and signage, opening up a whole new set of opportunities for advertisers.
  5. Social Provides Instant Feedback.  Social technologies give users the ability to express their opinions anywhere, anytime.   Companies need to figure out how to embrace this as part of their marketing process, encouraging and acting on the real-time feedback.

Some interesting trends along with a unique perspective from the advertising industry.  I think it is safe to say that Google has an iron-clad plan to grab their share of the mobile advertising market. 

Juniper Research: Top Ten Wireless Predictions for 2010

Juniper Research released their list of top ten wireless trends on December 15.  

Juniper says that in 2010 there will be so much data requests coming from smartphones and other wireless mobile devices that 3G networks will be strained to the point that they may begin to fall.  With sales of 33.8 million, the influx of iPhones is one of the main contributing factors to the rise in mobile data.

Here’s Juniper’s list of ten wireless predictions for 2010.

  1. Mobile Data Traffic Explosion to put strain on 3G Networks
  2. Mobile Ecosystem starts to go green
  3. Mobile Heads for the Cloud
  4. New category of Smartbooks to Emerge
  5. Apps Stores All Round
  6. Mobile Social Networking to Integrate with other Applications including M-Commerce
  7. NFC phones appear in the shops
  8. At least 10 LTE networks to be launched into service
  9. Smartphones to Get Augmented Reality Makeover
  10. Christmas Kindle sales expected to herald the rise of the connected embedded consumer devices

There is no doubt in my mind that the mobile and wireless market will continue to be a significant emerging trend in enterprise IT.  Juniper has lots more detail on each of the to predictions listed above.  To view and print a pdf file of the entire report, go to http://www.juniperresearch.com/toptenwirelesspredictions2010/TopTenWirelessPredictions2010.pdf

Gartner’s Latest List of Disruptive Technologies

Every Wednesday, Gartner does a free webinar on a variety of topics.  Earlier this month, they had a presentation titled "Technology Trends You Can't Afford to Ignore."   I attended the webinar and took some notes.

The webinar provided attendees with Gartner’s latest list of disruptive technologies.  According to Gartner, a disruptive technology is one which drives major change in business processes or revenue streams, consumer behavior or spending, or IT industry dynamics.  It’s important that companies have processes in place to identify the disruptive technologies that will impact their business and develop plans to address these disruptions. 

Gartner regularly publishes disruptive technology lists.  Back in October 2007, I posted Gartner:  Five Disruptive Trends, which was a summary of their current list at that time, which included the following five trends:

  1. Web2.0
  2. Software as a Service
  3. Global-class computing
  4. The Consumerization of IT
  5. Open-Source Software

You can read my October 2007 post Gartner:  Five Disruptive Trends for more on that Gartner list.

So I was interested attending the webinar and seeing what was on Gartner’s list this time.  Here is a summary of Gartner’s July 2009 list of the top 10 technologies that will drive significant disruption over the next five years.

  1. Virtualization.   Virtualization helps reduce the number of servers used, decreasing power consumption.
  2. Data Deluge.  According to Gartner, the amount of data produced around the world will grow by 650% over the next few years, and 80% of it will be unstructured.
  3. Energy & Green IT.   We need to come up with regulations for technology and power consumption. 
  4. Consumerization & Social Software.  Consumerization, Social media, social computing, and social networking will change the way we work.   See my April 16, 2009 post on The Consumerization of IT  or my March 12, 2009 post Social Computing as a Disruptive Force for more on this trend.
  5. Unified Communications.    Unifying communications will allow users to route communications to their preferred device and change that device preference whenever they need to.  
  6. Mobile  Mobile devices 10 years ago were just phones.  Today, they are little computers. Tomorrow, it may be the primary device employees use to get their work done.  
  7. Complex Resource Tracking  This is all about the need to manage our networks more efficiently
  8. System Density.   We are going to need more and more servers.  That's going to increase power and cooling requirements, even as the price of the hardware continues to drop.
  9. Mashups and Enterprise Portals.  Employees will increasingly need and demand new ways to see information. 
  10. Cloud Computing. Cloud-computing can certainly save you a lot of time and money, but it will cost a lot of time to make the switch to the cloud happen.  I spent a bunch of time researching cloud computing.  For more information, see this post, which also contains links to other cloud computing posts I have done.

A quick comparison of the 2007 list with the list today, we see that Consumerization of IT/Social Software made both lists.  And we also see that Saas/Cloud Computing made both lists.   Both these trends are important disruptive trends, for sure.

For more information, or to download the replay and a pdf of the presentation, go to this Gartner website: Webinar Wednesday Series: Technology Trends You Can't Afford to Ignore

CIO: 10 Websites That Will Matter in 2009

My last post, ReadWrite Web: Top 10 Semantic Web Products of 2008, provided 10 websites that were on the leading edge of web services.

Another article from CIO.com titled 10 Websites That Will Matter in 2009 also caught my eye.   I am always interested in articles like this as they almost always have a few new websites that I have never heard of before, but are pushing the envelope of Web 2.0 and web services.  This article did just that.

Take a look at this list of ten web sites.  They all have the potential to generate lots of buzz in 2009.  A few of them might become among your most favorite sites.

  1. TV.com:  TV.com (http://www.tv.com/). owned by CBS, has been relaunched with full-length programs (movies and prime-time TV shows).  In addition you can find promo clips, cast profiles, interviews, and discussions.  The big question in 2009 is will tv.com mount a big enough challenge to Hulu?  Right now Hulu (owned in part by NBC) has momentum and video quality on their side.  

  2. Qik:  Qik (http://www.qik.com/) provides a platform where you can easily stream and share live video from your mobile or cell phone cameral.  You can even set it up to send the video straight to YouTube, your blog, or to your page on Facebook.
  3. Boxee:  Boxee (http://www.boxee.tv/) is designed to collect video from all over the web (Hulu, YouTube, CNN.com, and many others) and put it in a very neat and easy-to-use interface that you can access via a PC or on your TV.  Currently available only on Apple / Linux machines, the company says it is working on a Windows version.
  4. Blackberry Application Storefront:  Research in Motion (RIM), learning a lesson from the Iphone playbook, is opening up a store for independently developed BlackBerry apps, called the BlackBerry Application Storefront.  This page is not open, but you can check for it at  BlackBerry signup page on the Storefront
  5. Loopt:   Finding friends and  then things to do with those friends has never been easier.  Loopt (http://www.loopt.com/) shows you a map, and your position on it, and also the positions of your mobile friends who are in the vicinity.  Then Loopt detects businesses in the area and makes suggestions based on your interests or specific queries ("beer, pizza, bowling"). 
  6. Blip.fm:  Blip.fm (http://www.blip.fm/)  really is like Twitter for music.  A social networking place for people who enjoy music.  What you see at the site is a scrolling list of people's song choices with their short comments about them.  These are called Blips. You can listen to the "blipped" songs as they come up, or skip up and down the list to songs you like. And that is just the start of all the fun you can have on this site.
  7. Power.com:  Power.com (http://www.power.com/) operates on the premise that many of us now belong to several social networking sites and that it is a hassle to log in and post to each site separately.  Power.com lets you log in once, then view (and post to) any of a long list of social networking sites that you sync the service up with–all from one place.  One thing to watch in 2009 is their stormy relationship with Facebook.
  8. Tweetag:  Designed to feed off the Twitter buzz, Tweetag (http://www.tweetag.com/) is a sort of search engine for "tweets." It allows you to look for trends in what is being publicly discussed on Twitter, and, more importantly, find discussions of things that matter to you.
  9. Hi5:  Hi5 (http://www.hi5.com/) is the third largest social network in the world, with 40 percent of the members coming from Spanish-speaking countries.  It has been growing rapidly and has some great features not found on other sites.
  10. Tripit:  Tripit (http://www.tripit.com/) wants to be your travel assistant.   Tripit aggregates all of your travel reservation details and based on those details, automatically pulls in key information for you like maps, local attractions, dinner reservations, and weather reports, and wraps it up in an easy-to-use master itinerary.

I've seen Tripit hyped before, so that sounds like a winner.  If you have not checked out Hulu (mentioned above in the tv.com entry, you should check that one out. 

I think in 2009 and 2010 we will see a ton of new sites like these that launch new and exciting services.  Can't wait to see them…

You can read the full article at titled 10 Websites That Will Matter in 2009.