2015 Trend Reports Are Now Available

Public versions of my 2015 Trend Reports are now available at my HorizonWatching Slideshare account.   Direct links to the 2015 reports are as follows:

I’d love to hear your feedback on these reports.  Let me know how you are using them.   I’m on Twitter and LinkedIn… so those are probably the best places to keep in touch with me.

Cognitive Computing Trend and Prediction Articles for 2014

We are fast-approaching a new era of computing called cognitive computing. Cognitive computing systems will learn, interact and adapt naturally to support consumers, knowledge workers and business decision makers. This new computing era is not an incremental change. It will disrupt industries and how work gets performed within those industries. It signifies a fundamental shift in how machines interact with us and the environment.

I recently published my trend report  Cognitive Computing Trends to Watch in 2014.   The report provides an overview of Cognitive Computing and what to watch in 2014 in related topics like IBM Watson, Artificial Intelligence, and Smart Machines.   In the deck, I provide  important trends and predictions about Cognitive Computing trends in 2014.

Below I’ve provided you some articles on this trend that I thought you would want to read.


Source Title
The Economist Group The machine of a new soul
BGR What might finally take Siri to the next level? You.
IPWatchdog What is a Computer?
opus Research 10 Trends to Watch: Conversational Commerce 2014
inside BigData A Look Ahead at Big Data and Cognitive Computing
Wired Innovation Insights Artificial Intelligence Set to Deliver ‘Wow’
CSC Becoming a Believer in Artificial Intelligence
New York Times Brainlike Computers, Learning From Experience
IBM Bringing Cognitive Computing to the Enterprise
The Bridge Cognition-as-a-Service will be big in 2014

 

Gartner Top Ten Strategic Trends for 2014

Gartner top-10-strategic-trends-2014-gartnerIn case you missed it, Gartner recently announced their latest revision to their strategic technologies list.   The revised list is announced annually at the Gartner Symposium/ITxpo in Orlando.  This post provides an overview of the trends on Gartner’s list of Top 10 Strategic Technology Trends for 2014.  The ten are all very important, but I wonder why Big Data, Analytics, and Social are not mentioned.  Regarding #9 Smart Machines, I think we are a few years away from seeing a smart machine market fully develop, but when cognitive systems do go mainstream, the impact will be highly disruptive across all business processes and enterprise applications.

1) Mobile Device Diversity.   Gartner says the explosion of mobile devices and user interfaces will make “everything everywhere” strategies unachievable from now through 2018.  Bring your own device (BYOD) programs have caused IT and Finance organizations a bunch of stress.   Gartner recommends a complete review of BYOD programs to better define expectations and to balance flexibility with confidentiality and privacy requirements.

2) Mobile Apps & Applications.  Gartner says HTML5 and mobile browsers will be the focus of enterprise application development.   Developers should focus on improving the user interface via richer voice and video in order to connect people in new and different ways.   It’s like a gold rush era for creating apps for all different and we should not expect any consolidation to happen soon.

3) The Internet of Everything.   Internet of Things (IoT) is now increasingly being referred to as the Internet of Everything (IoE).  Sensors and devices are increasingly being embedded into all sorts of enterprise assets and consumer items.    Gartner says that most organizations have not yet fully grasped the potential of IoE and not operationally or organizationally ready.   Gartner identifies four basic usage models that are emerging:  Manage, Monetize, Operate, Extend and recommends these four basic models should be applied to any of the four “internets” (people, things, information and places).

4) Hybrid Cloud and IT as Service Broker.   Gartner says the future of cloud computing are hybrid clouds.  This is an environment where clouds can talk to each other.  So enterprises should design private cloud services fro the ground up so that full integration/interoperability is possible. 

5) Cloud / Client Architecture.  Gartner says that cloud and client computing models are shifting.  In the future cloud and client architecture, the client is a rich application running on an Internet-connected device, and the server is a set of application services hosted in an increasingly elastically scalable cloud computing platform. The cloud is the control point and system, and applications can span multiple client devices.

6) The Era of the Personal Cloud.   Gartner says that there is a shift in importance coming away from personal devices and towards personal cloud services.   Users will use a collection of internet connected devices.   The personal cloud and the applications we all run as individuals will become the core control point.

7) Software Defined Everything (SDx).   Gartner sees an increased role for software in the datacenter.   Software is now able to data center more hardware more efficiently and easily than ever imagined before.  With Software-Defined Everything, the computing infrastructure is virtualized and delivered as a service.  Gartner says there is growing market momentum for improved standards for infrastructure programmability and data center interoperability driven by desires to implement cloud computing, DevOps and fast infrastructure provisioning.

8) Web Scale IT.  Gartner says that large cloud services providers such as Amazon, Google, Salesforce.com, and others are re-inventing the way in which IT services can be delivered.  Gartner recommends that IT organizations should align with and emulate the processes, architectures, and practices of these leading cloud providers.

9) Smarter Machines.  Gartner suggests that the “the smart machine era will be the most disruptive in the history of IT”.  Gartner further predicts that “Through 2020, the smart machine era will blossom with a proliferation of contextually aware, intelligent personal assistants, smart advisors (such as IBM Watson), advanced global industrial systems and public availability of early examples of autonomous vehicles.   Gartner says that the market for smart machines will include solutions like

  • contextually aware, intelligent personal assistants
  • smart advisors
  • advanced global industrial systems
  • autonomous vehicles

10) 3D Printing.  According to Gartner, 3D printing is not just for printing toys and jewelry.  Gartner says that 3D printing will have a high impact on many industries, including consumer products, industrial and manufacturing.   Gartner is predicting that shipments of 3-D printers will grow 75 percent in 2014 and 200 percent in 2015.

For more, check out the press release here or attend the December 13 Webinar

Internet of Things: A 2013 HorizonWatching Trend Report

My Internet of Things: A 2013 HorizonWatching Trend Report is available for you to download out on Slideshare.  I’ve embedded it below.

Internet of Things (IoT) refers to everyday physical objects that have embedded sensors, actuators and chips in them that allow the capture and communication of data.  These devices are then linked through both wired and wireless networks to the Internet.  The IoT trend is all about enabling these devices and then using the information collected as a result as a tool to make our lives better and help us make better decisions.  The IoT is therefore seen by many as an ultimate solution for automating business processes — in the real-world and in real-time.

If you look around your own home,  you will see that sensors are being embedded in all sorts of ‘things’ from fitness monitors, to cars, to appliances.   There are forecasts from industry analysts that say there will be up to 100 billion uniquely identifiable objects connected to the Internet by 2020.  Many of these devices will be able to talk to other devices and computers without any human intervention.  Enterprises can deploy their own sensor networks, building sense and respond systems that can work autonomously.  Some say that the IoT will be the most disruptive technological revolution since the advent of the World Wide Web.

Trends to Watch in 2013 for the Internet of Things

  1. Thank you IPv6!: Connectivity and Communications of IoT is enabled by IPv6, which is replacing IPv4.
  2. It’s About Sensors: They are getting smaller, smarter, and cheaper….and there are billions of them.
  3. Machine to Machine: Sensor and systems of sensors talking to each other and data centers via wireless communications
  4. Like A Nervous System: IoT can enable an automated sense and respond system for any business process or application.
  5. Big Data to get Bigger: All these ‘things’ (sensors) will produce even more data than we have now, taxing our already complex enterprise Information Management systems.
  6. IoT Analytics: Advanced analytics and dashboards will be needed to provide insights from all the ‘things’.
  7. Clouds that Scale: Some IoT systems and networks may have to scale quickly and autonomously.
  8. CIOs Need to Prepare: CIO Leaders and Innovators will begin strategizing how to best make use of IoT for their organizations.
  9. Education Needed: Expect increased demand for education and skills training related to Sensor Networks and what to do with the data collected.
  10. Product Design: Consumers and Customers will increasingly expect products to come with embedded sensors.

The IoT Trend Report

Mashable’s Pete Cashmore: 10 Web Trends to Watch in 2010

Mashable Pete Cashmore Pete Cashmore (Twitter mashable) is founder and CEO of Mashable, a very popular blog about social media.   He is a frequent speaker and a recognized subject matter expert on all things social and digital media.  Besides Mashable, he also writes a weekly column for CNN.com and back in early December, he published his list of 10 Web trends to watch in 2010.

Cashmore’s Top Ten Trends

  1. Real-time ramps up:  There’s a growing demand for immediacy in our interactions. Immediacy is compelling, engaging, highly addictive … it's a sense of living in the now.
  2. Location, location, location:  Location based services is not about any singular service; rather, it's a new layer of the Web.
  3. Augmented reality:  The AR hype is here. It’s a cool application, but AR vendors need to demonstrate real benefits.
  4. Content 'curation':   Content creation is outpacing our ability to consume it and increasingly, your friends are becoming the curators of your consumption.
  5. Cloud computing:  Cloud computing, a buzzword of 2009, will get its legs in 2010. 
  6. Internet TV and movies:  Is 2010 the year the majority of our television starts coming to us via the Internet? 
  7. Convergence conundrum:  Why do we need multiple devices (ipod, camera, phone, videocamera, watch) when we can have it all in one device?
  8. Social gaming:   Social gaming and the related virtual currencies these games have spawned is something to watch in 2010.
  9. Mobile payments:  Pete says 2010 will be the breakthrough year of the much-anticipated mobile payments market.
  10. Fame abundance, privacy scarcity:  Pete says to expect personal privacy — or rather its continued erosion — to be a hot media topic of 2010.

Pete gives us some interesting things to think about with his list.   Number 4, Content Curation hits home with me as does does number 10, Privacy.  I’ve been waiting for #6 to happen for a few years.  I have not yet jumped in feet first with all the social gaming (#8)….probably because I just don’t have time.

For a 4 minute video of Pete introducing some of these trends, check out the video below (found at http://us.cnn.com/video/?/video/tech/2009/12/08/cb.web.trends.cnn)