Schedule of 2013 I.T. Analyst Technology Trend Webinars

I’m well into my research phase for developing my annual trend reports for 2013.  One place I go every year for validation of the trends I am seeing are the various analyst trend webinars that happen in December and January every year.  I’ve inventoried the major ones I thought you all might be interested in and thought I would provide that inventory here for you via a blog post.

The title of the webinars are linked so you can just click on the ones you want to register.  These should all be free webinars, but you may need to register on the website if you have not done that already.

November

Gartner: Emerging Technologies Hype Cycle: What’s Hot for 2013 NOV 29, 2012 10am or 1pm ET

Frost & Sullivan: Analyst Briefing: SaaS – Where are Companies Spending and Why? NOV 29, 2012 1pm ET

IDC: Predictions 2013: Competing on the 3rd Platform NOV 29, 2012 12PM ET

December

IDC: Insights Predictions 2013: Cross-Industry Overview DEC 3, 2012 | 11:00 AM ET

IDC: Insights Predictions 2013: CIO Agenda DEC 3, 2012 | 2:00 PM ET

IDC: Insights Predictions 2013: CIO Agenda DEC 3, 2012 | 2:00 PM ET

Gartner: Collaboration, Content and Social: Planning for 2013 DEC 4, 2012 – 9AM ET or 12PM ET

Gartner: 2013 IT Cost Optimization: Strategy, Best Practices and Risks DEC 4, 2012 – 10AM ET or 1PM ET

IDC: Health Insights Predictions 2013: Health DEC 4, 2012 | 11:00 AM ET

Gartner: Bring Your Own Device: Mobile Trends and Securing the Transition DEC 4, 2012 – 11AM ET

IDC: Government Insights Predictions 2013: Government DEC 4, 2012 | 2:00 PM ET

IDC: Energy Insights Predictions 2013: Oil & Gas DEC 5, 2012 | 11:00 AM ET

IDC: Energy Insights Predictions 2013: Utilities DEC 5, 2012 | 2:00 PM ET

Gartner: Cloud Computing Changes the Vendor Landscape DEC 6. 2012 – 10AM ET or 1PM ET

SAP: Mobile Trends 2013 and Beyond: Intensifying in the Mainstream 06DEC – 11am ET

IDC: Retail Insights Predictions 2013: Retail DEC 6, 2012 | 11:00 AM ET

IDC: The Future of Customer Care Services: Social, Mobile and Virtual 2012 DEC 6, 2012 | 12:00 PM ET

IDC: Manufacturing Insights Predictions 2013: Manufacturing DEC 6, 2012 | 2:00 PM ET

Frost & Sullivan: clip_image0012013 Unified Communication and Collaboration Market Trends and Predictions 06DEC – 3pm ET

IDC: Financial Insights Predictions 2013: Financial Services DEC 11, 2012 | 11:00 AM ET

IDC: Manufacturing Insights Predictions 2013: Smart Services and Aftermarket Strategies DEC 11, 2012 | 2:00 PM ET

Gartner: Technology Trends You Can’t Afford to Ignore DEC 11, 2012 – 9am ET or 12pm ET

Gartner: BI and Analytics Market Trends – 2020 Vision DEC 11, 2012 – 11am ET

IDC: Manufacturing Insights Predictions 2013: Supply Chain DEC 12, 2012 | 11:00 AM ET

IDC: Manufacturing Insights Predictions 2013: Product Lifecycle Strategies DEC 12, 2011 | 2:00 PM ET

IDC: Predictions 2013: Systems Infrastructure Software DEC 13, 2012 | 12:00PM ET

Gartner: Creating a Digital Edge to Drive Business Growth DEC 13, 2012 / 10AM ET

Gartner: Best Practices in Mobile Device Management DEC 18, 2012 – 9AM ET

IDC: Predictions 2013: The New Datacenter Dynamic DEC 18, 2012 | 12:00PM ET

Gartner: The Nexus of Forces Creates Market Opportunities in Vertical Industries DEC 18, 2012 – 11am ET

Gartner: Top Technology Predictions for 2013 and Beyond DEC 19, 2012 – 8am or 11am ET

Gartner: Bring Your Own Device Program Best Practices (BYOD) DEC 20, 2012 – 9am or 12pm ET

IDC: Predictions 2013: Security Products and Services DEC 20, 2012 | 12:00PM ET

 

January

IDC: 2013 Chief Marketing Officer (CMO) Predictions: How Today’s new Customers are Forcing Rapid Transformation of the Marketing Function JAN 8, 2013 | 11:00 AM ET

IDC: Predictions 2013: Big Data JAN 8, 2013 | 12:00PM ET

IDC: 2013 Chief Information Security Officer (CISO) Predictions: Securing the Expanding Walls of an Enterprise JAN 9, 2013 | 11:00 AM ET

IDC: 2013 Chief Risk Officier (CRO) Predictions: Surviving the Storm with Technology JAN 10, 2013 | 11:00 AM ET

IDC: Predictions 2013: Storage JAN 10, 2013 | 12:00PM ET REGISTRATION TO OPEN SHORTLY

IDC: 2013 Chief Financial Officer (CFO) Predictions: Emerging Issues Driven by the IT Financial Footprint JAN 10, 2013 | 2:00 PM ET

IDC: Predictions 2013: Telecom JAN 15, 2013 | 12:00PM ET REGISTRATION TO OPEN SHORTLY

IDC: Predictions 2013: Consumer Markets JAN 17, 2013 | 12:00PM ET REGISTRATION TO OPEN SHORTLY

IDC: Predictions 2013: Enabling Technologies/SemiconductorsJAN 22, 2013 | 12:00PM ET REGISTRATION TO OPEN SHORTLY

IDC: Predictions 2013: SMB – Impact of Changing Priorities, Preferences, Challenges JAN 24, 2013 | 12:00PM ET

IDC: Predictions 2013: Enterprise Communications and Datacenter Networking JAN 29, 2013 | 12:00PM ET REGISTRATION TO OPEN SHORTLY

IDC: Manufacturing Insights Predictions 2012: Manufacturing Operations Technologies JAN 30, 2013 | 10:00 AM ET

IDC: IDC Predictions 2013: The Next Frontier for Applications, AD&D and Software Business Strategies JAN 31, 2013 | 12:00PM ET

 

February

IDC: Predictions 2013: Worldwide Services FEB 5, 2013 | 12:00PM ET REGISTRATION TO OPEN SHORTLY

IDC: Predictions 2013: A Transformation in the Making for the 2013 Hardcopy Market FEB 7, 2013 | 12:00PM ET REGISTRATION TO OPEN SHORTLY

IDC: Predictions 2013: Enterprise Servers FEB 12, 2013 | 12:00PM ET REGISTRATION TO OPEN SHORTLY

IDC: Predictions 2013: High Performance Computing FEB 26, 2013 | 12:00PM ET REGISTRATION TO OPEN SHORTLY

IDC Retail Insights: Predictions for 2012 for the Retail Industry

IDC has released its IDC Retail Insights' Predictions for 2012 via it’s annual predictions conference call.  This was a global predictions call and was focused broadly on all types of financial services.  There are also other calls coming up that focus on regional predictions in both Europe and Asia as well as calls specific to sub-industries within Financial Services.   

Leading this conference call was Bob Parker Group Vice President.  Other IDC Retail Insights team members on the call were

Summary

According to IDC Retail Insights, the economic indicators are strong going into 2012.  IDC believes that year to year spending growths for Retail Industry segments will range from a low of 3.9% for for Home Furnishing to a high of 5.6% for Drug Stores.  Spending will grow the fastest in the software at 5.8% year to year, while services growth will be lowest at 3.5%.  Asia Pacific is poised to grow the fastest at 4.8% while Western Europe will only row at 3.6%.

The IDC Retail Insights team also confirmed four major IT trends that are reshaping the industry:  Cloud Computing, Social Computing, Mobile Computing, and Analytics.

The Ten Predictions

The 2012 predictions list below was sourced from the conference call slides.

  1. Growth Strategy. “Consumers, not products or channels, create the basis for growth strategies.”
  2. New Retail IT Model. “The Omni-Channel Consumer directs a new Retail IT model for the industry – O3.” 
  3. Innovative & Efficient. “Retailers will race to innovate and will operate more efficiently.”
  4. Synchronicity. “Retailers will synchronize the supply chain with the clock speed of their customers.”
  5. Brand Experiences. “Retailers will create great brand experiences by enabling engaged employee experiences.”
  6. Customer Engagement. “Planning paradigms will begin to evolve to support genuine customer brand engagement strategies.”
  7. Assortment Planning. “Continuous assortment planning (AP) orchestrated for space becomes the planning hub.”
  8. Store Evolution. “The store evolves – welcome to the Omnichannel Store.”
  9. Social Conversations. “Customer experience improvements that boost online conversion will go beyond the web store.”
  10. Delivery Models. “eCommerce delivery models will fragment.” 

For More Information

IDC Financial Insights: Predictions for 2012 for Financial Services

IDC has released its IDC Financial Insights' Predictions for 2012.  The December 6, 2011 annual predictions conference call was marred by technical problems, but the IDC team went ahead and recorded the webinar portion.  The recording will be available on the IDC Predictions website and has been loaded to You Tube, here and is also embedded below.

This was a global predictions call and was focused broadly on all types of financial services.  There are also other calls coming up that focus on regional predictions in both Europe and Asia as well as calls specific to sub-industries within Financial Services.  

Leading this conference call was David Potterton, Vice President of Global Research.  Other IDC Financial Insights team members on the call were Jeanne Capachin, Marc DeCastro, Karen Massey, Aaron McPherson, John O'Brien, Sean O'Dowd, and Michael Versace.

Summary

The IDC Financial Insights team started off the predictions by saying there are going to be four main themes in 2012. 

  1. Meeting regulatory and compliance requirements.
  2. Improving the cross-channel experience
  3. Improving operational cost efficiencies
  4. Improving revenue generation 

The Ten Predictions

The 2012 predictions list below was sourced from the conference call slides.

  1. IT Spending Growth. “Tumultuous financial markets, failing institutions, and lower profits in Europe and the U.S. will inhibit, but not eliminate, IT spending growth.”
  2. Channel Mix. “Financial institutions struggle to harness the right channel mix for an optimum customer experience.” 
  3. New Business Models. “Financial institutions will see the need to develop a new business model, but execution will elude the industry.”
  4. Revenue Generation. “Revenue-generation continues to be a major challenge in 2012 as financial institutions explore new pricing options enabled by technology.”
  5. Reliability of IT. “IT reliability becomes a major risk factor due to the age and complexity of key systems.”
  6. Mobile Payments. “Financial institutions will generate less than 10% of total mobile payments.”
  7. Operational Efficiency. “Financial institutions will continue to tackle operational efficiencies and will target average cost income ratios of 40%.”
  8. Risk Management. “Risk management will top US$60B and 15% of total IT investments across WW financial services.”
  9. Social Media. “Financial institutions will use social media to improve decision making and drive financial results.”
  10. Big Data Analytics. “Over 40% of all tier 1 banking and capital market firms gear up to execute big data / analytics business and technology strategies.”

Webinar Recording via YouTube

 

For More Information

IDC Health Insights: 2012 Health Industry Predictions

Earlier this week, I attended the annual IDC Health Insights Predictions 2012:  Health conference call.  

This was a global predictions call that covered the entire Health Industry, including health payer, provider and life science sectors.  The team identify major global trends that will impact the has scheduled other prediction calls going into more detail on topics specific to payer, provider and life sciences.  There are also other calls coming up that focus on health industry related predictions in both Europe and Asia.   

Leading this conference call was the IDC Health Insights Group Vice President, Scott Lundstrom.  Also on the call were 8 other members of the IDC Health Insights analyst team

Summary

IDC says significant changes are transforming components of the Health Industry value chain driven by a focus on patient safety, cost containment, quality improvement, and regulatory compliance.  Key topics of importance to business leaders will be EMR and EHR for providers, connected health, healthcare industry reform, and the life sciences value chain. 

Overall, IDC list 5 major technology themes

  1. Reform
  2. Analytics and Big Data
  3. Cloud
  4. Mobile
  5. Social

IDC is hot on themes 2-5 throughout all of its predictions calls.  

The IDC Health Insights Ten Predictions for 2012

The 2012 predictions list below was sourced from the conference call slides.

  1. EHR. “The Majority of U.S. Providers Will Use an EHR by the End of 2012”.
  2. ACOs. “Successful Accountable Care Organizations Will Emerge from Private or Public-Private Initiatives” 
  3. Re-Branding for Care. “Health Plans Rebrand: Care is the New Core”
  4. Integrated Strategies. “Integration of Payment, Clinical Performance and Outcomes”
  5. Analytics for Pharma. “Pharma adds "Actionable" to Analytics in 2012”
  6. Analytics for ACOs. “The Next Mountain for ACOs to Climb Will be the Development of an Enterprise Analytic Framework Including Clinical Analytics”
  7. Outsourcing.  “Outsourcing Best Practices Shift From Vendor to Partner”
  8. Mobile. “Bring Your Own Mobile Device Gains Popularity, But Security Risks Abound”
  9. Communication Strategy. “Second-Generation Communication Strategies Emerge”
  10. Social. “The Next Generation of Consumer Engagement will Leverage Consumers’ Social Graphs”

For More Information

IDC Manufacturing Insights: 10 Predictions for Manufacturing in 2012

I attended the IDC Manufacturing Insights Predictions 2012:  Manufacturing conference call today.   I enjoyed this call as IDC highlighted the key 2012 trends within the Manufacturing Industry.

This was a global predictions call and was focused broadly on manufacturing industry wide predictions.  The IDC Manufacturing Insights team has scheduled other prediction calls going into more detail on topics like Supply Chain and Product Lifecycle Management.  There are also other calls coming up that focus on manufacturing related predictions in both Europe and Asia.   

Leading this conference call was the IDC Manufacturing Insights team of Joe Barkai (Vice President), Simon Ellis (Practice Director), Kimberly Knickle (Practice Director), Pierfrancesco Manenti (Head – EMEA), and Bob Parker (Group Vice President)

Summary

In 2012, the industry could be characterized as having cautious optimism.  Manufacturing is recovering but business will never be the same.  IDC showed spending forecasts for all major sub-industries with manufacturing and all industries show growth with the consumer oriented industries showing the most growth. 

The Ten Predictions

The 2012 predictions list below was sourced from the conference call slides.

  1. ‘Engaged’ Organizations. “Success in the intelligent economy will be achieved through “engaged” organizations”.
  2. ‘Four Forces’. “IT organizations will make foundational investments in the “four forces” that deliver both IT productivity and business value”  (note:  IDC says the four forces are Mobility, Big Data, Cloud, and Social Business)
  3. Supply Chain Alignment. “Manufacturers Focus on Clock-Speed Alignment across the Supply and Demand Sides of their Supply Chains”
  4. IT Support of Supply Chain. “The Requirement for Speed and the Ubiquity of Information Creates a New Landscape for IT Support of the Supply Chain”
  5. Lean Innovation. “Manufacturers Adopt Lean Innovation Throughout the Product Lifecycle”
  6. Product Lifecycle Visibility. “Greater Visibility and Deeper Understanding of All Aspects of Product Lifecycle Enable Context for Innovation”
  7. Factory of the Future: Capabilities.  “The Factory of the Future will be Driven by Capabilities to Fulfill Customer Demand Rather than Pure Production Capacity”
  8. Factory of the Future: Operations. “The Factory of the Future will Require a New Approach to Operations Applications”
  9. Culture of Learning. “Engaged Manufacturers Look Ahead by Creating a Culture of Learning”
  10. Sustainability. “Manufacturers Shine Environmental Sustainability Spotlight on the Factory as a Means of Getting to the Product”

For More Information

IDC Energy Insights Predictions for 2012 Utilities Industry

I recently attended IDC Energy Insights Predictions 2012:  Utilities conference call today.  I look forward to the IDC Insights series of conference calls every year as it helps me understand the critical issues and trends that impact Information Technology decisions within a particular industry. 

In this case, the predictions were focused on the Utilities industry with an emphasis on North American issues.  There are other calls coming up that focus on Europe and Asia.   

Leading the conference call was the IDC Energy Insights team of Jill Feblowitz, Jay Holman, Sam Jaffe, Usman Sindhu, Casey Talon and Marcus Torchia

Summary and Key Themes

IDC Energy Insights says in 2012, the industry is entering a ‘post stimulus’ period.  While funding has dried up, there are areas where investment spending is growing, such as Solar PV installations.   Other investment areas include Smart Grid, Smart Buildings, Electric Vehicles, and Energy Storage.

The 2012 predictions list below was sourced from the conference call slides.

  1. Smart Meters. “Smart meters will peak in 2012, propelling demand response, but spending tempered for now”.
  2. Smart Grids. “Distribution automation will lead smart grid control investments with 13% CAGR”
  3. Smart Buildings. “Smart building technology investments will gain more traction with utilities”
  4. Electric Vehicles. “120,000 plug-in electric vehicles will be sold in North America in 2012”
  5. Lithium Batteries. “Lithium-Ion large format batteries will reach $600 per kWh by the end of the year”
  6. Solar PV Installations. “Despite the 1603 Treasury Grant expiring in 2011, PV installations will grow by >25% in 2012”
  7. Commercial PV. “>60 MW of commercial PV installations will incorporate micro-inverters or DC optimizers in 2012”
  8. Security & Risk. “Security and risk will continue to grab decision maker’s attention, leading to increased budgets”
  9. Big Data Analytics. “Utilities will invest in analytics in anticipation of big data”
  10. IT Spending. “IT spending by North American utilities will increase by 4.5% % over the next four years”

For More Information

IDC Government Insights: 2012 Technology Predictions and Trends

imageI attended IDC Government Insights Predictions 2012:  Government conference call today.  I look forward to the IDC series of conference calls every year as it helps me understand the critical issues and trends that impact Information Technology decisions.  

The conference call was led by IDC Vice President Thom Rubel, and IDC Research Directors Ruthbea Clarke, Shawn McCarthy, and Adelaide O'Brien 

Summary and Key Themes

IDC says that the Government spending on IT in the U.S. will reach $82B.  The majority of that is Federal, with spending at the Federal level split about evenly between DoD and Civilian initiatives.  IDC expects the majority of this spending will be allocated to improve decision-making, operational efficiency, and citizen services for 2012

Overall, IDC believes there are four overall themes to watch in Government spending for 2012:

  1. Operational Efficiency:  Broader strategies are need to reduce operational costs
  2. Mobility:  Better management and provision of services are required
  3. Smart Government:  Improve the value of information and broaden service channels
  4. Economic Sustainability:  Investing to improve quality of life and promote economic growth/competitiveness

Top Ten Predictions for 2012

The 2012 predictions lists are developed from IDC analysts, who draw upon their ongoing discussions with industry clients, vendors, and years of experience.  The list below was sourced from the conference call slides.

  1. Cloud Computing.  “Up to 10% of States will have shared cloud hubs by the end of 2012, rapidly growing to 65% of the States by 2015”.
  2. Social Media.  “The use of social media for U.S. Local, State, and Federal organizations will begin the move from experimental to systematic information dissemination and collection.”
  3. Mobility.  “Mobility will become the number 1 IT governance issue and moves beyond device management to encompass broader business issues.”
  4. DataCenters.  “Small datacenters in the U.S. Federal government will hit the endangered species list in 2012 and be reduced by 70% with State and Local governments following suit.”
  5. Business Process Outsourcing.  “Over 20% of government IT and business process outsourcing requests for proposals will include service-level agreements tied to internal business and/or program outcomes.”
  6. Smart Cities“The growing availability of intelligent technology solutions will accelerate global investment in smart city technologies to $40.9 billion in 2012.”
  7. Service Level Agreements.   “Due to increased use of cloud computing, CIOs will spend up to 20% of their time in 2012 reviewing the terms and conditions of service-level agreements and mover toward standardization.”
  8. Big Data.  “Governments will take small steps to satiate their big appetite for Big Data.”
  9. Communication Networks.  “Foundational high-speed communications networks will finally hit critical mass.”
  10. Smarter Government.  “Governments will start updating legacy systems and engage in cross-agency collaboration that will move them to a higher stage in smart government maturity.”

The last few minutes of the conference call was spent going over recommendations and guidance to those in governments and those at vendors who serve governments.

For More Information

IDC: 2012 Predictions for Information Technology Industry

“IDC predicts that worldwide IT spending will grow 6.9% year over year to $1.8 trillion in 2012. As much as 20% of this total spending will be driven by the technologies that are reshaping the IT industry – smartphones, media tablets, mobile networks, social networking, and big data analytics.”  – IDC Press Release

IDC Top Trends 2012 IDC released it’s high level list of predictions for 2012 yesterday.  I attended the annual international conference call which kicks off a series of IDC predictions and trends calls over the next few months. 

The 10 high level prediction areas from IDC for 2012 are:

  1. Worldwide IT Spending Growth – Spending growth returns to the industry, fueled by the emerging markets and mobile computing.  European debt crisis could spoil the party.
  2. Emerging Markets Growth – China to pass Japan in IT spending as emerging markets grows to 28% share of total global spending.
  3. Mobility Devices & Apps – Smartphone/Tablet usage grows and users want these devices to do everything.  Mobile apps explosion continues and the O/S battle rages.
  4. Cloud Services Adoption – Spending on cloud services growing 4 times the industry rate.  Apps moving increasingly to the cloud.  PaaS and SaaS wars/acquisitions accelerate.
  5. Cloud Services Enablement – Increased cloud services growth will drive huge demand for IT hardware and software offerings that enable those cloud services as well as for technologies that can optimize the cloud data center infrastructure
  6. Mobile Networks – IDC says that in 2012 spending on mobile data services will surpass fixed data spending, that growth of video traffic will be an issue, and that telcos are expected to focus on mobile cloud strategies.
  7. Big Data Analytics – Digital data continues to grow at an alarming rate (48% in 2012) resulting in focus on Big Data and analytic ‘mashups’ and related M&A activity.
  8. Social Business – IDC expects battles to continue between between Microsoft, SAP, Oracle, and IBM while Facebook aims to become the B2C platform of choice.
  9. Interactive Network of Things – The number of embedded systems, entertainment devices, appliances, and industrial automotive computing devices will outnumber traditional IT input devices by 2014.
  10. Intelligent Industry Solutions – Smart Cities related efforts will drive over $40 billion in technology investments in 2012, mainly in Energy, Government, and Healthcare.

The IDC predictions list aligns well with the research I have been doing the last few months.  I will be issuing my own annual trends report in early January. 

The 10 IDC predictions are detailed in the full report IDC Predictions 2012: Competing for 2020 which was authored by Frank Gens, IDC’s Senior VP & Chief Analyst with help from a vast army of IDC analyst teams. 

IDC’s prediction portal for 2012 is at www.idc.com/Predictions12 and it is there you can link to all sorts of content, events, press releases, and complementary research.  I recommend you check out the “Video Commentary” Frank Gens, IDC’s Senior VP & Chief Analyst .  You can also follow IDC on Twitter http://twitter.com/#!/idc  for real-time news and updates.

IDC Announces Dates for 2012 Prediction Conference Calls

IDC IDC’s series of annual prediction conference series kicks off December 1st with it’s Top 10 Predictions for 2012 conference call.  I’ll be attending most of the conference calls and reporting about them here as I do every year.  

IDC's annual Top 10 Predictions for 2012 conference call is the most popular call in the sericeso.  Senior Vice President and Chief Analyst Frank Gens will talk about the key themes and opportunities that will guide the industry's direction in 2012. 

The Cross-Industry Overview call is another popular call.  Hosted by Meredith Whalen, Senior Vice President, IDC Insights and Vertical Markets Research, this call always features a panel of research vice presidents from the six industries that comprise IDC Insights. Here’s the list of dates that have been announced.

Below you can find a list of currently scheduled IDC Prediction Calls.   For more information about IDC events and webinars, go to the IDC Events page.

Overview/Summary Calls

Energy & Utilities

Financial Services

Government

  • Government – December 7, 2011 – 11:00 a.m. EST; 16:00 GMT
  • EMEA Government – December 13, 2011 – 9:00 a.m. EST; 14:00 GMT

Health

 

  • Health – December 5, 2011 – 2:00 p.m. EST; 19:00 GMT
  • EMEA Healthcare – December 14, 2011 – 9:00 a.m. EST; 14:00 GMT

Manufacturing and Supply Chain

Retail

  • Retail – December 8, 2011 – 11:00 a.m. EST; 16:00 GMT
  • EMEA Retail – January 18, 2012 – 9:00 a.m. EST; 14:00 GMT

Note: If you cannot attend the live broadcasts, slides and web conference replay recordings will be available afterward to pre-registered participants. You must pre-register to receive access information and reminders.

For more information about IDC events and webinars, go to the IDC Events page.

Virtualization Continues To Be An Important IT Trend

Virtualization, while not a new trend, is an important IT trend for 2011.  It will continue to transform IT infrastructures, impacting servers, storage, desktop, and applications in 2011.

Virtualization is one of the best ways to get more business value from an IT infrastructure. Virtualized infrastructures are popular not only for cost savings, but because they can enable quick changes to business models, operating structures and the way that business processes are enabled.  By decoupling logical resources from physical assets, virtualization can empower an exceptionally swift response to changing business conditions or changing business strategies.  In addition, a highly virtualized infrastructure is a prerequisite for private clouds (See Cloud Computing In 2011: Private Clouds Are An Important Trend) so CIOs will continue to focus on virtualization.   

Adoption Drivers: 

  • Desire to reduce IT operational costs,
  • Desire to move towards cloud model.
  • Networks and servers are better equipped to handle this technology.

Inhibitors to Adoption:

  • New roles & responsibilities,
  • Security of virtualized environment,
  • Requires more sophisticated virtualization Management and Utilization techniques

Implications:

  • IT Departments must understand their environment completely and this requires good communications between IT and Business Leaders
  • Security becomes more complex in a virtualized environment. It become more difficult to manage and make sure every asset is utilized efficiently.
  • Enterprises should thoroughly evaluate how business processes, administrative rights, capacity planning, performance monitoring tools and security strategies will need to change.

Analyst Quotes

“The next "big thing" will be automating the composition and management of the virtualized resources”. – Gartner (Link)

“Server virtualization is the 'killer app' for the datacenter and has forever changed IT operations” – IDC (Link)

“Virtualization will continue as the highest-impact issue challenging infrastructure and operations through 2015, changing how you manage, how and what you buy, how you deploy, how you plan and how you charge.” – Gartner (Link)

For More Information

Over the last 3-4 years we’ve seen server virtualization really take off as a trend and now it is almost standard technology in the data center.  While security concerns remain a hurdle to deployment, we’ll continue to see a focus on virtualization across the entire infrastructure in 2011. 

Cloud Computing Is Enabling The Next Phase Of The Internet Evolution

Carlota Perez wrote a book titled “Technological Revolutions and Financial Capital” (2002) that is a real interesting read.  Perez says that there have been five historical waves of economic and social transformation in the developed economies of the world. Each of these waves have what she calls an Installation phase followed by a crash of some sort and then a Deployment period. 

HorizonWatching - Carlota Perz 5 Waves

Perez says that our global economy has now entered the deployment phase of the fifth technology investment cycle, which she says is the Age of Information and Telecommunications (see embedded picture).  Perez says that this will be a period of adjustment when novel business models will exploit the new IT infrastructure that is now being put in place that enable more porous, open, collaborative approaches that seek to leverage the economics and flexibility of global sourcing.  She expects enterprises of all sizes will employ technology to help them transform their business models, processes and operations.

As mentioned, Perez says we are entering this Deployment phase. As we do there are some key characteristics across our global economy that is impacting how this phase develops. The firms that will succeed are the firms that will embrace these characteristics and the change that is happening in order to innovate and leapfrog competition.

Important characteristics of our global economy includes:

  • A level, global economic playing field presents new opportunities, challenges and competitive technologies
  • New technologies, services and skills are emerging…and they are quickly being integrated into every aspect of business and everyday life
  • The pace of change is dramatically compressing “windows of opportunity” for real competitive advantage.
  • Billions of skilled people are entering the world’s economy, fundamentally transforming the mix of the global workforce
  • The interconnected nature of our world’s economy means businesses must be prepared to respond to – and capitalize on – changes in real time, with unprecedented flexibility.

While all this is happening, we are moving into what I believe is the third stage of the Internet. Call it Web 3.0 or whatever you wish, but cloud computing is perhaps the most important technology.  In fact, I believe that cloud computing is the key enabling technology for this next technological wave and the next phase in the evolution of the Internet.

HorizonWatching - Private Clouds Enables Next Wave of the Internet

Back in the mid to late 1990s companies were just concerned with getting websites up so they could have a presence on the Internet. It was all about providing very basic information to the public. But soon the so called e-commerce trend arose and business was being conducted on the Internet. Then Web 2.0 came into play and all users realized that they could share their ideas, create content, and collaborate online.  We are now well into this next phase of the evolution where the enabling technologies will be cloud, analytics, mobile, video, and semantic capabilities.  This so called Web 3.0 phase will provide applications that are much more immersive, social, and collaborative in nature.  Combined that with an explosion of networked sensors and advanced predictive analytic and all the Smarter Planet initiatives will become a reality. 

But the most important enabler will be the combination of private and public cloud computing infrastructures that will be the ‘engine’ of the future Internet.

Cloud Computing In 2011: Private Clouds Are An Important Trend

The cloud computing ‘buzz’ has been going on now for 3 years. IBM Cloud White Papers Benefits include reduced costs, improved service delivery and an enablement of business innovation.   Public clouds have been a major part of the discussion and experimentation.  However, many CIOs and business leaders are concerned with having their data residing outside their firewall.   So, in 2011, I expect we’ll see more companies adopting approaches to private clouds in parts of their businesses.  

Adoption Drivers

  • Commoditization and standardization of technologies,
  • Virtualization and the rise of service-oriented software Architectures,
  • Dramatic growth in popularity/use of the Internet and the Web.

Adoption Inhibitors

  • Bandwidth, Complexity, Standards, Security, Privacy, Compliance, Performance, Loss of Control of Data outside the firewall.

Analyst Perspective

As can be seen by the quotes below, more companies have begun adopting approaches to private clouds in parts of their businesses.  Analysts agree that enterprises will be interested in learning more about how to leverage private clouds within their own ecosystems.

“Almost one-quarter of the infrastructure and operations (I&O) professionals polled in our Forrsights Hardware Survey, Q3 2010 said that building a private cloud is a high or critical priority for them. Five percent said it is critical.” – Forrester Research (Link)

“According to recent IDC survey results, almost half of respondents, 44%, are considering private clouds.” – IDC (Link)

“The cloud market is evolving rapidly, with 39 percent of survey respondents worldwide indicating they allocated IT budget to cloud computing as a key initiative for their organization” – Gartner (Link)

“Private clouds’ are a natural next step in the evolution of data centers over the last ten years, toward consolidated, virtualized and automated IT service delivery environments.” – Frank Gens, IDC (Link)

“there is still some lingering apprehension over issues like integration, availability, security, and costs. These concerns, and how they are addressed by IT vendors, will continue to guide the adoption of cloud computing over the next several years.” – IDC (Link)

So the analysts agree that a growing number of organizations are turning to clouds to manage basic applications. Core business apps, IT infrastructure services, analytics, and app dev/test/deploy are next in line. However, as mentioned, since CIOs and business leaders are concerned with having their data residing outside their firewall, 

What To Expect In 2011

  • Expect to see mid and large-sized businesses to increase their experimentation and implementation of private clouds as the promise of the cloud delivery model is one that is just too good to pass up. 
  • There’s also a growing interest in private ‘community clouds’ hosted for a group of organizations who trust each other.
  • Something else to watch out for this year is how cloud computing will impact the mobile infrastructure and ecosystems in 2011.

Since cloud is a disruptive new way to deliver software & services, cloud will enable both new opportunities as well as new competitors in all areas of business.

For More Information